Key demographic trends
We serve a diverse and changing population across the five boroughs of Kingston upon Thames, Merton, Richmond upon Thames, Sutton and Wandsworth. The population is now around 1.1 million and has grown by nearly 7% since 2011, broadly in line with national and London trends, though growth has been uneven across boroughs, with Sutton experiencing particularly rapid change1. Alongside overall growth, communities across south west London have become more diverse and more complex, reflecting wider demographic change across the capital.
Age
Our population profile reflects change at both ends of the age spectrum. Overall, south west London has grown older, with numbers aged 65 and over increasing by nearly 19% since 2011, most notably in Richmond1, reflecting longer life expectancy and demographic ageing. At the same time, the population of children and young people has grown more rapidly than the adult population, with under-15s increasing by around 9% over the same period1. Working-age adults continue to represent the largest proportion of the population across all boroughs, meaning south west London is characterised by a broad and changing age profile spanning early life, working age and older adulthood.
Ethnicity
South west London is home to increasingly diverse communities, with significant variation in ethnic composition across boroughs and neighbourhoods. While the population remains predominantly White overall (around 69%), Asian communities now make up around 15% of the population1, alongside growing Black and mixed-ethnicity communities, particularly in Kingston, Merton and parts of Wandsworth. In several boroughs, children and young people from Black, Asian and minority ethnic backgrounds represent a larger share of the younger population than the adult population, reflecting ongoing demographic change and the evolving composition of communities across south west London.
Deprivation
Although our boroughs are, on average, less deprived than many parts of London and England, each contains distinct pockets of significant deprivation. These localised neighbourhoods often sit alongside areas of relative affluence, a pattern typical of London, where disadvantage is concentrated in small clusters rather than being evenly spread. Wandsworth and Merton contain several neighbourhoods within the most deprived national deciles, while Sutton has concentrated pockets of deprivation in its north and central areas. Kingston and Richmond contain smaller but still meaningful hotspots. These variations shape mental health demand and contribute to differences in outcomes across our geography. These areas closely align with Core20Plus populations in Sutton, Wandsworth and Merton, where deprivation intersects with ethnicity, long‑term conditions and lower access to preventative support. People in these neighbourhoods typically experience higher levels of unmet or more complex mental-health need, are more likely to require intensive support, and face an elevated risk of poorer outcomes without targeted action.
Prevalence and forecasts
The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the nation’s health cannot be understated, and this is evident in our local prevalence data since 2020. Mental health need has risen across all age groups, with distinct patterns emerging. For children and young people, the impact has been particularly significant. All boroughs saw an increase in children and young people requiring additional social, emotional or mental health support, with Merton and Wandsworth continuing to exceed England levels. South west London also saw marked increases in self-harm admissions for 10-24-year-olds during 2020-22. These have largely returned to pre-pandemic levels, although Kingston and Richmond, our two least deprived and least diverse boroughs, saw the most pronounced rises, with Kingston exceeding the England average in 2020-2021 and 2021-2022. Access to Trust self-harm pathways also increased during this period.
Since our 2018 strategy, recorded prevalence of serious mental illness (schizophrenia, bipolar affective disorder and other psychoses) in south west London has increased by 14.8%. This rise is greater than reported national trends and reflects both genuine increases in complexity and improved identification across our system4. Depression has seen the sharpest rise at 62.1%, and modelling suggests this will continue to be a major driver of demand if not addressed through earlier intervention and prevention. Merton and Sutton sit above the England average for overall mental health prevalence, while Wandsworth is broadly in line; all boroughs remain below the England average for depression specifically. People living with serious mental illness experience significantly reduced life expectancy, often 15-20 years shorter than the general population, driven by preventable physical health conditions and inequities in access to care. While premature mortality for adults with Serious Mental Illness (SMI) is better than the England average across our boroughs, there is substantial variation between them, with Wandsworth performing worst4. Our ageing population contributes further to rising need. Dementia prevalence is highest in Richmond and Sutton, reflecting demographic change; Richmond remains just below the England average while Sutton aligns with it. Neurodevelopmental need has risen substantially. National data shows a marked rise in ADHD prevalence. The 2023/24 Adult Psychiatric Morbidity Survey reports that 1 in 7 adults (13.9%) now screen positive, up from 8.2% in 2007 and 9.7% in 2014, equivalent to around 6.5 million adults. Rates are highest in young adults (25% of 16-24-year-olds) and higher in women than men, with public recognition also increasing: 5.8% of adults believe they have ADHD, compared with 1.8% reporting a diagnosis. As no borough-level prevalence data exists, local interpretation for south west London is necessarily inferential. Given the younger population profiles of Wandsworth, Merton and Kingston, and the strong national associations between ADHD and socioeconomic disadvantage (including unemployment, economic inactivity and problem debt), local prevalence is likely to be similar to or above national rates. Prescribing patterns reinforce this, with ADHD medication use increasing 18% annually nationally since 2019/20 and London showing the fastest growth at 28% per year, indicating rapidly rising recognition across the region.
The relationship between deprivation and prevalence
Deprivation is one of the strongest predictors of mental health prevalence and intensive service use across our boroughs. In Sutton, Wandsworth and Merton, larger Core20Plus populations experience higher rates of both common and severe mental illness, with greater complexity and higher likelihood of crisis or intensive support. In Merton, for example, Core20Plus groups generate a disproportionately high share of activity relative to their population size. Even in Richmond and Kingston, where overall deprivation is lower, small pockets of deprivation are associated with markedly higher and more complex need, reinforcing the close link between socioeconomic disadvantage, acuity and poorer outcomes. A clear understanding of our population and how it is changing supports us to define clear goals around access, experience and outcomes for service users, carers and families.